Data Analysis

World Cup

England's World Cup Odds — and How All 48 Teams' Hopes Compare

England's real 2026 path and the penalty record fans actually argue about. Group L is the easy part — 91.7% to advance. The shootouts are the wound: 4–8 all-time, a 33.3% win-rate.

Data Analysis

The Host Boost: What Playing at Home Is Actually Worth for the USMNT

The USMNT is the lowest-rated team in its group. On neutral ground it's going home. We applied the measured host boost — hosting is worth about 1.6 points to the USA's Group D.